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Daily Coffee Report - 04/26/2024

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Coffee Markets Close lower

 

Arabica coffee futures settled lower Friday but recovering partially from early heavy losses. The market was under pressure on spec selling that extended from last night following the announcement of an increase of initial margins in London. In addition, reports of rains in the Dahlak region of Vietnam added weight on the Robusta prices. The most active “C” contract for July delivery at the ICE exchange in New York ended 4.10 cents or 1.78 % lower at 224.00 cents a pound. Volume reached 37.014 lots including 10,350 switches. Dollar strengthened today after US inflation data for March reinforced perception the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts. During the week, Arabica lost 3.38% or 7.85 cents. Profit taking and technical driven selling contributed to the down move at the same time as the recent commercial buying eased. The volatility declined after the FND on Monday. Cert stocks were down 4,835 bags to 656,657 bags. Pending grading added 5,230 bags to 56,204 bags. No grading on Friday.

COT (CIT) Non-commercials decreased their long position by 3,666 lots to 69,040lots long and decreased their short position by 938 lots to 18,335 lots short, with a net long position of 50,705 lots in the week to April 23rd.

The London terminal finally gives some ground ending the session over 3% lower as the recent roaster fixations and hedge lifting slows. The contract for July delivery closed at $4151 -153, trading in a range of 4132/4303. Without these buying elements upside momentum stalled and encouraged the systematic players to shift from long to short, which drove values into a vacuum triggering stop below the previous low.  Whilst most participants would not turn bearish after a one-day event, the nearby technical outlook would favour a retest of the old congestion area resting marginally above $4000 basis July24.

At the time of writing

USDBRL 5.1148 -0.86%

USDCOP 3898.0 -1.63%

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ICE Arabica

Volume:

37,014

 

ICE Robusta

Volume:

14,887

 

Brazil Arabica

Volume:

440

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage

Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage

Arabica Switches

Robusta Switches

Related tags: Coffee

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